War and Chance

War and Chance

Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics

Friedman, Jeffrey A.

Oxford University Press Inc

10/2021

242

Mole

Inglês

9780197619131

15 a 20 dias

356

Descrição não disponível.
Acknowledgments
Introduction: "One of the Things You Learn as President Is That You're
Always Dealing with Probabilities"
Chapter 1: Pathologies of Probability Assessment
Chapter 2: Subjective Probability and International Politics
Chapter 3: The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment
Chapter 4: Dispelling Illusions of Rigor
Chapter 5: The Politics of Uncertainty and Blame
Chapter 6: Analysis and Decision
Chapter 7: Practical Implications and Directions for Further Research
Appendix
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